Predicting Duke basketball record in ACC play next season

How many games will the 2020-21 Duke basketball team lose against ACC foes?

While we don’t yet have specific dates and tipoff times, we do know generally what the Duke basketball conference schedule will look like next season. In other words, we have sufficient info to make early predictions.

Mike Krzyzewski, who has averaged just 4.5 losses per regular season to ACC opponents in his 40 years at the helm, will see his 41st team play home and away contests against North Carolina, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Notre Dame, and Pittsburgh. The Blue Devils will host Boston College, Clemson, Syracuse, and Virginia in Durham. And Duke will travel once each to Florida State, Miami, NC State, and Virginia Tech.

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That 20-game slate poses some interesting matchups for the Devils. When considering Duke’s 2020-21 conference record, I considered games recently played in each venue as well as an aggregate of scores from those contests. While imperfect, I can assure you that it will be entertaining (and heavily quantitative).

Though we don’t yet know the order of the contests, in groups of four, let’s look at how Coach K’s young squad is likely to fair in conference play. In our first set of four games here, the Blue Devils will host Boston College and Syracuse and travel to Notre Dame and Pittsburgh…