Probabilities for each Duke basketball player’s return next season

Duke basketball (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images)
Duke basketball (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images) /
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Duke basketball
Duke basketball guards Tre Jones and Cassius Stanley (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images) /

90 percent, pretty sure to bolt but…

G- Tre Jones (So)

G- Cassius Stanley (Fr)

These two guys should certainly go, but there is a slim chance that they may want to keep wearing the Blue.

Duke basketball sophomore point guard Tre Jones has been nothing short of spectacular this year. He not only averages 16.2 points and 6.4 assists but is the emotional rock of the team.

Jones, who on Monday became the 18th Blue Devil in history to earn the honor as ACC Player of the Year, is clearly the most important player going forward. And his improvement in offense and leadership from last year should get him drafted either late in the first round or early in the second.

Freshman shooting guard Cassius Stanley, meanwhile, has spent the majority of the year flip-flopping from consistent scorer to frustrated bench mainstay. The Los Angeles native, who joined Vernon Carey Jr. on the All-ACC Freshman Team on Monday, has seemed to come on lately, though, and become the third option this team needs.

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Stanley’s ability to strike fear in defenses looking to avoid a life on a poster, his suddenly dependable 3-point stroke, and his age (20) all point to him exiting Duke early for the professional ranks.

As for the truly iffy 2020-21 Duke basketball returnees…